The Planning Fallacy Is That You Make

People Who Face A Difficult Question Often Answer An Easier One Instead, Without Realizing It.

Except For Some Effects That I Attribute Mostly To Age, My Intuitive Thinking Is Just As Prone To Overconfidence, Extreme Predictions, And The Planning Fallacy As It Was Before I Made A Study Of These Issues.

When You Look At The Books About Well-being, You See One Word - It's Happiness. People Do Not Distinguish.

... Sometimes When You Are Asked A Question That Is Difficult, The Mind Doesn't Stay Silent If It Doesn't Have The Answer. The Mind Produces Something, And What It Produces Very Characteristically Is The Answer To An Easier But Related Question.

The Evidence Is Unequivocal, There's A Great Deal More Luck Than Skill In People Getting Very Rich.