I Would Be Wary Of Experts' Intuition,

I Would Not Advise People To Buy A Car Or House Without Making A List. You Will Probably Improve Your Intuitions By Making A List And Then Sleeping On It.

The Evidence Is Unequivocal, There's A Great Deal More Luck Than Skill In People Getting Very Rich.

The Confidence That Individuals Have In Their Beliefs Depends Mostly On The Quality Of The Story They Can Tell About What They See, Even If They See Little.

You Should Not Take Your Intuitions At Face Value.

Nobody Would Say, 'i'm Voting For This Guy Because He's Got The Stronger Chin,' But That, In Fact, Is Partly What Happens.